Why the Most Famous Lost Sports Watch Is Due for a Comeback in 2026

There’s literally no better time to do it.

Stainless steel wristwatch with a blue textured dial and silver hour markers on an orange background.Patek Philippe

With apologies to the Calatrava, the Nautilus ranks as Patek Philippe‘s most recognizable and iconic watch.

But the Nautilus was perhaps too iconic and became a victim of its own success. From the 2010s through the Covid-19 pandemic, the Reference 5711 — the modern evolution of the original stainless steel time-and-date Nautilus — became arguably the hottest watch in the world, with a decade-long waitlist and astronomical secondhand prices climbing to multiples of the watch’s already lofty SRP.

Patek CEO Thierry Stern made the decision to discontinue the 5711 in 2021, stating that he didn’t want Patek to become known for a single model. Stern gave the blue-dialed 5711 a farewell tour of sorts that same year, releasing an olive green variant and closing out the year with a rare Tiffany Blue version.

Close-up of a turquoise Patek Philippe watch dial with black and white hour markers and "Tiffany & Co." text.
Patek’s steel Nautilus got a glorified sendoff at the end of 2021 with a Tiffany Blue-dialed version.
Patek Philippe

More than four years later, Patek has moved on. In 2024, the brand launched the Cubitus, a new sports watch line that draws heavily — some say too heavily — from the Nautilus.

Patek still has a catalog full of Nautilus models — 27, as of this writing — but the only steel models you’ll find are two annual calendars, a flyback chronograph and a quartet of ladies models. With no successor to the 5711, the Nautilus has almost become an afterthought in Patek’s sprawling lineup, which perhaps was Stern’s goal all along.

But that could change this year. Because if there were ever a time for Patek to bring back a non-complicated Nautilus in steel, it’s 2026. Here’s why.

The big five-oh

The Nautilus was one of the original stainless steel luxury sports watches, launched just four years after the Audemars Piguet Royal Oak and sharing the same designer: the legendary Gérald Genta.

When people think of the Nautilus, just like with the Royal Oak, it’s the steel, non-complicated, blue-dial version they picture. That is Patek’s greatest icon. That is the watch people want. And I think there’s a good chance we’ll see it again soon.

Silver stainless steel Patek Philippe wristwatch with a blue textured dial and date window.
The 5811 replaced the 5711 in Patek’s Nautilus lineup, but it’s made of more expensive white gold rather than steel.
Patek Philippe

The first Nautilus was launched in 1976, and if my math is correct, that was exactly fifty years ago this year. And if there’s one thing watch brands love, it’s celebrating big anniversaries.

Last year, AP celebrated its 150th anniversary with arguably the most impressive Royal Oak ever. Girard-Perregaux commemorated the 50th birthday of its own Royal Oak and Nautilus model, the Laureato, with the totally overhauled Laureato Fifty. And Vacheron Constantin marked 270 years of watchmaking by bringing back the stainless steel version of its original Nautilus rival, the 222.

Now, it’s Patek’s turn.

The next Nautilus

Now, this is all just speculation on my part — I have no inside information here — but there’s zero chance Patek keeps a non-complicated steel Nautilus out of its catalog forever. And the watch’s 50th anniversary gives the brand the perfect excuse to bring it back.

patek 5711
What would a 5711 replacement even look like?
Patek Philippe

So, what might a new Nautilus look like? Well, we can assume it will differ in some ways from the 5711, which originally debuted in 2006. That will likely mean an updated movement over the Calibre 26‑330 S C automatic that was used in the final iterations of the model.

It’s also likely, unfortunately, that the new Nautilus will have greatly reduced water resistance compared to the 5711. In 2024, Patek standardized its water resistance to 30m across its entire catalog, including its 120m-rated sports watches, the Nautilus and Aquanaut — the latter of which was literally designed for aquatic use.

Patek says its 30m rating means you can really take the watch 30m underwater, but you’re gonna have a hard time convincing me that a watch with a quarter of the water resistance that it previously enjoyed is just as capable in water as before.

A luxury wristwatch with a silver metal case and a textured deep pink rubber strap. The watch face is also deep pink with multiple subdials displaying day, month, date, and moon phase. The brand name "Vacheron Constantin Genève" is visible on the dial. The watch is being held by two hands, with one hand holding the watch case and the other holding the detached strap end.
Imagine if Patek incorporates a Vacheron Overseas-like bracelet exchange system on the next Nautilus.
Vacheron Constantin

As for other changes to a prospective new steel Nautilus, the only thing I could see Patek doing that would really get people excited is if the brand incorporated a quick-change bracelet system and/or microadjustable clasp. The rival Vacheron Constantin Overseas has both of these features, and they are arguably its main selling point, so it would be quite interesting if Patek showed some engineering creativity in this area.

I can’t say for sure whether or not Patek will debut a new Nautilus in 2026, or if it will be in steel — in 2016, the brand launched a platinum 5711 to mark 40 years of the model. But Watches and Wonders 2026 is less than 100 days away, so we may not have to wait long to find out.

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